Weather

June to end with the least active hurricane season start since 2014

2 days ago

June to end with the least active hurricane season start since 2014

Despite impactful flooding last week across the central Gulf Coast from the remnants of short-lived Tropical Storm Arthur — rainfall totals topping two feet in some places, bringing rainfall totals since May to nearly 50 inches across parts of southern Louisiana and Mississippi — it’s been largely crickets across the Atlantic since the start of the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season.

Watching for home brews to start July

3 days ago

Watching for home brews to start July

As June transitions to July next week, we’ll be keeping an eye off the shores of the southeast U.S. for an elongated area of low pressure tied to a stalled frontal zone that could spawn an area to watch by the middle to latter part of next week.

June out like a lamb in the Atlantic

June out like a lamb in the Atlantic

June is historically the least active month of the hurricane season, but that doesn’t mean the first month of the season can’t bring its fair share of issues.

Arthur’s remnants leave a trail of devastating flooding across the Deep South

Arthur’s remnants leave a trail of devastating flooding across the Deep South

Tropical Storm Arthur lasted only 12 hours as a named storm on Wednesday – one of the shortest-lived named storms in Atlantic basin records – but its stormy, water-logged remnants dragged a slug of torrential rains and severe weather through parts of the Deep South on Thursday, leading to widespread, devastating flooding from south and central Louisiana to southeastern Mississippi and lower Alabama.

Odds increase for short-lived tropical storm this week

Odds increase for short-lived tropical storm this week

A large tropical disturbance spinning inland over the mountains of northern Mexico – in part the remnants of once-Tropical Storm Cristina that crossed Central America late last week and now dubbed Invest 90L by the National Hurricane Center, the first Invest of the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season – is expected to briefly re-emerge over the coastal waters off Texas late Tuesday and Wednesday where odds are increasing it could make a brief run as the season’s first tropical storm.

Gulf disturbance to heighten flood threat from Texas to Georgia this week

Gulf disturbance to heighten flood threat from Texas to Georgia this week

A tropical disturbance that moved into northern Mexico over the weekend – partly the leftover spin of once-Tropical-Storm Cristina that crossed Central America from the eastern Pacific – will hitch a ride along an unusually strong and slow-moving cold front this week through the Deep South.

Monitoring the northern Gulf into next week

Monitoring the northern Gulf into next week

The disturbance that we began previewing in this newsletter over a week ago and that was first mentioned by NHC on Wednesday is now centered over the Bay of Campeche in the extreme southern Gulf.

Keeping an eye to the Central American gyre for late next week

Keeping an eye to the Central American gyre for late next week

The opening volleys of the 2026 hurricane season have unsurprisingly come from the eastern Pacific so far, where Amanda – the basin’s first named storm – formed late yesterday morning, and two more systems are poised to develop into next week off the Pacific coast.

Hurricane season starts today. Here’s what to expect for week 1 and beyond

Hurricane season starts today. Here’s what to expect for week 1 and beyond

Today marks day one of the 183-day Atlantic hurricane season, which runs through Nov. 30. Forecasters expect overall hurricane activity across the Atlantic basin to be softened this season by a potentially historic El Niño building in the eastern equatorial Pacific, which acts to deter would-be storms on the Atlantic side by ramping up hostile wind shear.

First 2026 hurricane season outlook predicts least active Atlantic since 2015

First 2026 hurricane season outlook predicts least active Atlantic since 2015

Hurricane researchers at Colorado State University (CSU) – the group that pioneered seasonal hurricane predictions in the 1980s – issued their first outlook of 2026 Thursday morning, predicting slightly below average named storm and hurricane activity for the upcoming Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.