Hurricane

The strong tropical disturbance designated Invest 98L over the weekend is coming together as Tropical Storm Melissa Tuesday morning, and the National Hurricane Center expects to issue its first forecast on the Atlantic hurricane season’s 13th named storm shortly.

A tropical wave that moved into the eastern Caribbean on Sunday – designated Invest 98L by the National Hurricane Center on Saturday – is becoming increasingly organized and will likely become a tropical depression or tropical storm in the next day or two as it slows over the central Caribbean.

A strong late-season tropical wave now moving through the central Atlantic could develop once it enters the Caribbean as upper-level winds turn increasingly conducive next week.

Since the basin reopened for business about a month ago following a bizarre 20-day drought with no active tropical systems through the traditional peak of the hurricane season, it’s managed to notch 6 of its 12 named storms and a full 60% of the season’s overall tropical activity as measured by the Accumulated Cyclone Energy or ACE.

Despite earlier forecasts showing Tropical Storm Lorenzo hanging around into the weekend, the unfriendly central Atlantic of mid October has done a number on it, and it’s no longer expected to survive the work week.

Like its predecessors over the tropical Atlantic this hurricane season, Lorenzo – which formed early Monday over the central Atlantic – continues to struggle as a tropical storm, with its winds and weather separated from its flailing center.

Tropical Storm Lorenzo, the 12th named storm of the hurricane season, formed early Monday over the central tropical Atlantic from a tropical disturbance that rolled off Africa late last week.

Despite a lopsided and disheveled appearance, Tropical Storm Jerry’s winds have gradually ticked up and it’s expected to be just shy of hurricane strength as its center curves north of the northern Leeward Islands along the northeastern edge of the Caribbean later today.

Tropical Storm Jerry, the 10th named storm of the hurricane season, formed late Tuesday morning and is forecast to strengthen into a hurricane on Thursday or Friday as it makes its closest pass near or just north of the northern Leeward Islands.

A strong tropical disturbance churning through the central Atlantic – designated Invest 95L – continues to organize and is on the cusp of becoming a tropical depression or named storm. The next name on the list is Jerry.

A robust tropical wave – a ripple in east-to-west flowing trade winds at about 10,000 feet resembling an ocean wave – plodding through the central Atlantic this week is poised to develop into a tropical depression or named storm.

The 2025 hurricane season that hit the pause button for nearly 3 weeks around its traditional peak in September is showing no signs of slowing as we enter its final stretch.