Hurricane

We continue to follow the progress of Invest 93L, an area of low pressure that moved from the Atlantic across the northern Florida peninsula on Tuesday and is now scraping westward through the state’s panhandle along the northern Gulf Coast.

So far in 2025, National Weather Service offices have issued more flood warnings than any other year on record dating back to 1986.

A disturbance that emerged off the coastal Carolinas on Sunday is expected to swing across Florida and into the Gulf by mid-week, where models suggest it could slowly develop as it scrapes across the northern Gulf Coast.

Big outbreaks of Saharan dust – tens of millions of tons of mineral dust hoisted from the sands of North Africa into the Atlantic each hurricane season – typically peak around this time each year.

On Wednesday, some of the nation’s top hurricane scientists joined House Democrats for a virtual press conference to sound the alarm on proposed budget cuts that would severely degrade hurricane monitoring and forecasting.

Ahead of an appropriations committee meeting, several scientists are raising a red flag about a NOAA proposal to shutter all its weather and climate research labs.

Forecasters at Colorado State University – the pioneers of seasonal hurricane forecasting – issued their July outlook for the hurricane season, nudging down numbers from their April and June outlooks, but still calling for a slightly above average season overall.

July is a transition month in the Atlantic when we begin to look a little deeper into the basin and closer to Africa for hurricane seedlings.

The catastrophic flooding that ripped through parts of the Texas Hill Country along the Guadalupe River northwest of San Antonio during the predawn hours on July 4th quickly turned into an unspeakable tragedy, killing at least 82 people, including 28 children.

Showers and thunderstorms are becoming more concentrated around an area of low pressure – now designated Invest 92L – centered about 100 miles off the coast of northeast Florida.

A combination of weather features, including a stalled front and developing area of low pressure off northeast Florida, have turned on the holiday tap, directing rounds of tropically-infused storms toward the Florida peninsula beginning today and extending into the holiday weekend.

We continue to monitor a weakening cold front now over the southeast U.S. that’s expected to stall over Florida by late week and could spin off a tropical depression or named storm by the weekend or early next week.

Only days after the U.S. Department of Defense abruptly announced the immediate termination of satellite data critical to hurricane forecasts – granted a moratorium early Monday through July – NOAA posted details of its 2026 budget request to Congress.

The ability to track the intensity of hurricanes reliably has improved significantly in recent years.

A stalled front across Florida’s peninsula later this week could spawn a tropical system over the northeastern Gulf or off the Southeast U.S. by the Fourth of July weekend.