Weather

Flooding causes travel delays across Broward County

2 days ago

Flooding causes travel delays across Broward County

Heavy thunderstorms caused widespread flooding and travel delays across parts of Broward County on Friday, with water covering streets near Fort Lauderdale-Hollywood International Airport and prompting drivers to slow down.

Remembering Miami’s worst hurricane a century later

2 days ago

Remembering Miami’s worst hurricane a century later

One hundred years ago this morning, residents and newcomers to America’s Playground in Miami Beach awoke to what early Miami transplant, journalist, and famed conservationist Marjory Stoneman Douglas described as “a sea of raving white water.”

Development odds tick up for central Atlantic system

3 days ago

Development odds tick up for central Atlantic system

The low-pressure area spinning several hundred miles east of Bermuda – now designated Invest 98L by the National Hurricane Center – has become slightly better organized since Wednesday and NHC nudged up development odds again overnight.

Atlantic hurricane season’s struggles continue

Atlantic hurricane season’s struggles continue

The low-pressure system located over the central Atlantic early Wednesday about 600 miles east of Bermuda and being tagged for possible development by the National Hurricane Center remains convectively starved and appears to be in no hurry to organize.

New area to watch over the middle Atlantic this week

New area to watch over the middle Atlantic this week

An area over the middle Atlantic that we first highlighted in this newsletter last Thursday as the next development candidate was added to the National Hurricane Center’s tropical weather outlook map early Sunday.

Invest 96L trying to form, but unlikely to get very far

Invest 96L trying to form, but unlikely to get very far

A strong tropical disturbance that rolled off Africa to start the week – since designated Invest 96L by the National Hurricane Center – is doing its best Little-Engine-That-Could impression this morning and appears to be nearing tropical depression or storm status in the eastern Atlantic.

Atlantic hurricane season in store for a late August awakening?

Atlantic hurricane season in store for a late August awakening?

After a historically slow start – the slowest in almost 40 years by overall tropical activity – the Atlantic hurricane season will make another attempt to jump start its engine this week, first with a disturbance in the central subtropical Atlantic and then later this week with a strong disturbance rolling westward through the main development region of the deep tropics between Africa and the Caribbean.

Disturbances dot the open Atlantic as future Moke forecast to slide south of Hawaii

Disturbances dot the open Atlantic as future Moke forecast to slide south of Hawaii

We’ve been talking a lot about the subtropics this hurricane season – the zone of the Atlantic basin that includes the Gulf and the waters directly east and north of Florida and the Bahamas – as stealing a little more of the action this year due to El Niño’s stranglehold on the deep tropics. It’s no surprise then that all three named storms so far this hurricane season have originated in this subtropical arena.

Lala leaves a trail of catastrophic flooding across parts of Hawai’i

Lala leaves a trail of catastrophic flooding across parts of Hawai’i

Hurricane Lala delivered a stinging blow to Hawaiʻi over the weekend, pummeling the island chain with repeated rounds of prolific rain topping 3 feet (36 inches) across the wetter windward (east-facing) mountains of the Big Island. Winds gusted to 70 to 90 mph on the Big Island and topped 74 mph and 85 mph respectively on Maui and Oahu as the center of Lala slid about 60 to 75 miles to their south on Saturday local time.

Atlantic looks to break its silence this week

Atlantic looks to break its silence this week

On Saturday, the National Hurricane Center added to its 7-day development outlook an area we first mentioned in this newsletter 9 days earlier and updated you on throughout last week, including last Friday as models grew gradually supportive of development over the deep tropical Atlantic for later this week.

Signs of life in the Atlantic later next week

Signs of life in the Atlantic later next week

As we’ve been previewing in this newsletter for over a week now, forecast models are hinting at some signs of life over the traditional Main Development Region of the tropical Atlantic — between Africa and the Caribbean — as we approach the middle part of the month.

Shaping up for a quiet first half of August across the Atlantic

Shaping up for a quiet first half of August across the Atlantic

August can be a two-faced month for the Atlantic hurricane season. The month’s opening salvo can be muffled or, in some years, non-existent, but by the closing week of August the basin is typically off to the races, climbing quickly to its early September peak.

U.S. 41 reopens after brush fire prompts closure

U.S. 41 reopens after brush fire prompts closure

A brush fire burning near U.S. 41 in the Everglades forced the closure of the highway in both directions and prompted the precautionary evacuation of Everglades Safari Park on Sunday, authorities said.

Clues August will open with a whisper across the Atlantic

Clues August will open with a whisper across the Atlantic

August is typically the month the Atlantic hurricane season comes alive, when bigtime hurricanes are no longer the exception and when we start paying closer attention to each tropical wave plodding westward across the Atlantic from Africa.

Pacific sizzles as the Atlantic simmers

Pacific sizzles as the Atlantic simmers

Genevieve rapidly strengthened 75 mph in just 24 hours over the eastern Pacific over the weekend to top the scales as a Category 5 hurricane by the pre-dawn hours Monday. The frequency of such explosive strengthening is rare in the eastern Pacific – fewer than 1% of all “fixes” (6-hourly position and intensity estimates) made since 1970.

How El Niño transforms the typical pattern of Atlantic hurricane activity

How El Niño transforms the typical pattern of Atlantic hurricane activity

We’ve written a lot about El Niño – the abnormal warming of waters across the eastern Pacific around the equator – in this newsletter this year. With it shaping up to be one of the strongest El Niños on record, we want to cover all angles of where we could see (and are already seeing) its fingerprints this hurricane season.

Why the (sub) tropics matter a little more this hurricane season

Why the (sub) tropics matter a little more this hurricane season

In most hurricane seasons, we watch for the storms that form in the Atlantic’s main development region, or MDR, the primary hurricane belt stretching from Africa through the Caribbean south of 20 degrees north latitude, where most of our strongest and longest-lived hurricanes form.

Saharan dust unloads on the Atlantic

Saharan dust unloads on the Atlantic

The biggest dust outbreak of the year is trying to make up for lost time, with the first round of dust reaching the sands of South Florida yesterday and even thicker dust reinforcements moving over Florida and into the Gulf by this weekend, settling over coastal Texas by the early to middle part of next week.

Forecasters lower predictions for the 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Forecasters lower predictions for the 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Hurricane experts at Colorado State University (CSU) – the team that pioneered seasonal hurricane outlooks back in the 1980s – issued their July update Wednesday morning, revising earlier predictions for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season downward for a second time since their initial forecast in April.

Checking in on the health of the Atlantic

Checking in on the health of the Atlantic

Typically by July we begin to get a better sense of the overall health of the Atlantic basin and how it’ll affect the peak months of the season in August, September, and October. This July the skies and seas of the Atlantic look beaten, bruised, and battered, which bodes well for curtailing overall hurricane activity in the months ahead.

Development odds dwindling for system off the southeast US

Development odds dwindling for system off the southeast US

A weak area of low pressure along a stalled front over the western Atlantic, about 400 miles to the southeast of the Carolinas, remains disorganized, and little to no development is expected over the next few days as the system drifts westward toward the southeast U.S.

June to end with the least active hurricane season start since 2019

June to end with the least active hurricane season start since 2019

Despite impactful flooding last week across the central Gulf Coast from the remnants of short-lived Tropical Storm Arthur — rainfall totals topping two feet in some places, bringing rainfall totals since May to nearly 50 inches across parts of southern Louisiana and Mississippi — it’s been largely crickets across the Atlantic since the start of the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season.

Watching for home brews to start July

Watching for home brews to start July

As June transitions to July next week, we’ll be keeping an eye off the shores of the southeast U.S. for an elongated area of low pressure tied to a stalled frontal zone that could spawn an area to watch by the middle to latter part of next week.

June out like a lamb in the Atlantic

June out like a lamb in the Atlantic

June is historically the least active month of the hurricane season, but that doesn’t mean the first month of the season can’t bring its fair share of issues.

Arthur’s remnants leave a trail of devastating flooding across the Deep South

Arthur’s remnants leave a trail of devastating flooding across the Deep South

Tropical Storm Arthur lasted only 12 hours as a named storm on Wednesday – one of the shortest-lived named storms in Atlantic basin records – but its stormy, water-logged remnants dragged a slug of torrential rains and severe weather through parts of the Deep South on Thursday, leading to widespread, devastating flooding from south and central Louisiana to southeastern Mississippi and lower Alabama.